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Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Intraday Update 1


As expected there was not threat to 6100 psychological level since the opening of the market. Taken long @ ORB as well as PIVOT point @ 6178. Now RBI has given positive surprise to market. So NS might heading towards 6300. Will review there long position.Today will watch NS 6175 if gone there in remaining session. (chances are remote.)

Trade Sheet


Nifty.....S....6133/6120/6100....R....6154/6175/6200


Nifty closed below 61.8 % level (6142). Bounce got sold and made new low. It was expected as the trend is DOWN. But looking at oversold status and 6100 psychological level fall may get pause in a day or two. Tomorrow weekly close below 6105 (weekly LEMA) will signal negative with downward momentum strong on medium time frame. Today being event day (RBI credit policy)volatility expected. Today close above 6177/6187 will signal downward momentum getting weak.

Tuesday, December 17, 2013

Trade Sheet


Nifty....S....6142/6130....R......6161/6175/6200/6210


Nifty as said gone towards 6142 but this important number protected well for twice.Yesterday low was 6146. Niufty is oversold and there were 5 red candles in a row, so bounce for intraday or for intraweek is expected.Today close above 6198 will PAUSE this downward journey. On upper side 6210/6245 is area to reenter in short position.

Monday, December 16, 2013

Intraday Update...2


Earlier long booked @ 6195 as it ws not sustaining above PIVOT 6179 NS.
Now again long @ 6181 NF

Intraday Update...1


Nifty as said heading towards 6142..low is 6153..S1 is 6150.
Covered short position and taken long @ 6180 NF.Now will see whether we gets ORB up (6194).SL is day low.

Nifty.....R..6179/6200/6240....S....6150/6130/6100


Nifty closed below 50 % retracement level (6194) of the rise from 5973 to 6415, now towards 6142 which is 61.8 % retracement of the same leg.It is oversold, but at the same time with WEEKLY sell on rise signal.One should manage bounce or re-enter short to get the benefit of latest signal.

Friday, December 13, 2013

Intraday Update 2


NF...not breaking 6200 . ..2 attempts failed...6200 PE ..OI not much shedding

NF if trades above 6220 then will review short position

Intraday Update 1


NF ...ORB range was 6211/6234.....now 6211 broken...6194 as well as 6185 50 % retrace and WEEKLY 5EMA no. also brokem...short position maintaining
Will review @ ns 6142. On upper side 6208 IMP.

Nifty...S.....6200/6194/6142...R...6250/6270


Yesterday too NIFTY closed with red color.As said earlier 6400 is strong resistance.Now resistance set at 6300.OI in 6300 CE are increasing at the same time support is at 6200. OI in 6200 PE are increasing, but if it breaks decisively then 6000 is the support. 6194 and 6142 are the 50 and 61 % levels of rally from 5973 to 6415.
Monthly is SELL ON RISE with last month close below MONTH HEMA. WEEKLY is positive with last WEEKLY close above WHEMA. DAILY is NEGATIVE with close below DLEMA (6256) as well as below 5DEMA (6275). So now today's WEEKLY close is important. 6293 is WHEMA and 6185 is WEEKLY 5 DEMA.

TRADE SHEET


Thursday, December 12, 2013

Intraday Update



Traded below PIVOT...Tken support @ S2 6259 but in last half an hour support broken .
At the same time TP 6253 hits. Close below DLEMA .. So downward momentum strong now.If tomorrow close Below 6293 -which is WEEKLY HEMA- all signals -MONTHLY.WEEKLY DAILY will be in one direction ...

Nifty.....DAILY negative ..tomorrow WEEKLY close imp now


Nifty traded below pivot and S2 was maintained till 3 pm.In last half an hour S2 broken at the same time TP (6253) hits.Monthly already negative, DAILY negative.Only WEEKLY negative is awaited tomorrow to turn it medium term downward strongly. Now 6194 and 6142 which is 50% and 61.8% retracement is important.

Intraday Update 1


NF..ORB down..@ 6305...short taken..



Here is PIVOT and S2





Trade Sheet


Nifty...S....6305/6280/6250...R....6330/6350


Upside seems capped for NIFTY. Last week close was positive and that signal has not yet implicated and it's intact till tommorrow ,provided that tomorrow close must be above 6293.Latest DAY signal is SELL ON RISE. If today close below 6265 then correction will be deeper.

Monday, December 9, 2013

TRADE SHEET


Nifty.....S...6235/6211...R....6301/6343/6400


As said NIFTY couldn't break 50 % retracenment level.Now election result impact is there.Euphoria.....!Above 6343 NIFTY is entering in new trade zone.Presently 64oo CE OI shows resistabce, if that breaks then 6500.

Friday, December 6, 2013

TRADE SHEET


Nifty.....R...6258/6280/6301....S......6226/6215/6208/6190


Yesterday Nifty opened with huge gap up and resisted exactly at weekly R2-which is mentioned in INTRADAY UPDATE-with addition in 6400 CE. Option table clearly shows resistance at 6400. Let's see whether nifty attempts again to cross earlier high (6343),if closed above that point then may add another 100/150 points. 50% retrace of last rally (6150 to 6301)was done yesterday itself.Now we have to watch whether it goes towards 61% or stops here.
Nifty has given negative close on monthly basia. At the same time last week close in line with monthly - sell on rise -.In both time frame close of NIFTY is below HIGH EMA .On Wednesday NIFTY closed below DAY HIGH EMA as well as below 5 EMA. So day trend also joined hands with WEEKLY and MONTHLY signals.But Yesterday NIFTY closed above DAY HIGH EMA as well as above 5 DAY EMA. So now DAY signals BUY ON DIPS, WEEKLY and MONTHLY signal still remains as SELL ON RISE. Today as it's a weekly close we have to see whether it close above current WEEKLY HIGH EMA which is at 6232 to join hands with latest day signal.

Thursday, December 5, 2013

Intraday Updat 1


We were out of trade.Thanks god. Technical levels saved us.
Nifty spot currently @ 6277...Weekly R2 6282..
Nifty future..currently @ 6313..if trade above 6315 decisively then new high possible else market may give up some gain which achieved in gap up opening

Nifty....S....6140/6115....R......6173/6197/6212


As said on 2 Dec Nifty couldn't sustain at higher level and was in narrow range for first 2 days of the week.Yesterday 6200 broken.Now Monthly and Daily is negative at the same time if tomorrow close below 6208 then weekly momentum will add additional force to SELL ON RISE. On down side 6111 and 6071 should be watched.Those are the 50 and 61% retracement numbers of rally from 5973 to 6229.


Trade Sheet


Monthly Trade Sheet


Monday, December 2, 2013

Nifty.......S...6154/6126..R....6204....6212.....6233


Nifty with negative on Monthly basis and positive on WEEKLY and DAILY basis entering into the strong resistance zone from where profit booking was experienced earlier 2/3 occasions.So cautious approach required.